Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.089900 0.100096 0.110586 0.122158 0.134539 0.147363 0.161621
2025-01-05 0.073481 0.088774 0.105360 0.124558 0.146040 0.169217 0.195990
2025-01-12 0.061499 0.079979 0.100972 0.126278 0.155648 0.188368 0.227279
2025-01-19 0.051983 0.072394 0.096580 0.126788 0.162949 0.204316 0.254674
2025-01-26 0.048887 0.071849 0.099957 0.136013 0.180160 0.231624 0.295307
2025-02-02 0.043219 0.067282 0.097761 0.137936 0.188250 0.248001 0.323115
2025-02-09 0.038958 0.063982 0.096685 0.140850 0.197262 0.265326 0.352044
2025-02-16 0.034173 0.059401 0.093461 0.140606 0.202017 0.277276 0.374410
2025-02-23 0.032766 0.059384 0.096179 0.148008 0.216452 0.301234 0.411627
2025-03-02 0.031036 0.058678 0.097800 0.153860 0.228878 0.322764 0.446036
2025-03-09 0.026985 0.054036 0.093550 0.151458 0.230284 0.330235 0.462866
2025-03-16 0.023104 0.049222 0.088668 0.147835 0.229784 0.335064 0.476236
2025-03-23 0.021654 0.048356 0.089701 0.152779 0.241241 0.355953 0.510910
2025-03-30 0.019944 0.046900 0.089779 0.156385 0.251022 0.374933 0.543591
2025-04-06 0.018098 0.044995 0.089020 0.158696 0.259028 0.391685 0.573631
2025-04-13 0.016113 0.042586 0.087271 0.159403 0.264726 0.405393 0.599835
2025-04-20 0.016313 0.044313 0.092224 0.170229 0.284812 0.438507 0.651662
2025-04-27 0.014876 0.042685 0.091565 0.172489 0.292739 0.455371 0.682346
2025-05-04 0.013776 0.041592 0.091695 0.175893 0.302296 0.474490 0.716138
2025-05-11 0.012183 0.039253 0.089536 0.175610 0.306446 0.486241 0.740230
2025-05-18 0.012093 0.040151 0.093004 0.184229 0.323663 0.516013 0.788526
2025-05-25 0.011736 0.040405 0.095318 0.191029 0.338270 0.542306 0.832351
2025-06-01 0.010104 0.037494 0.091771 0.188239 0.338559 0.548710 0.849423